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The Economics of AI Waste: Quantifying the Cost of Unused Models

Vikrant Labde

Co-founder & CTO

13 August, 2025 | 10 min read
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The Economics of AI Waste: Quantifying the Cost of Unused Models

Vikrant Labde

Vikrant Labde

Co-founder & CTO

13 August, 2025 | 10 min read

Share

Social Media Share Buttons

The Unseen Cost of AI Waste

For every AI project that becomes a business success story, there are others quietly shelved in shared drives and Git repositories—never deployed, never delivering value. CFOs know this pattern well in other investments, but AI waste has its own flavor: large upfront costs, high expectations, and almost no residual value if things don’t work out.
Industry numbers are sobering. Depending on the study, between half and 87% of AI/ML projects never make it into production. That means millions—sometimes tens of millions—of dollars committed to models that never see a live environment. And unlike traditional capital assets, these “AI assets” depreciate fast. Accuracy drops, market fit changes, and the knowledge embedded in the model starts going stale almost immediately.
This isn’t just a technical problem—it’s a capital efficiency problem. AI waste erodes returns, ties up resources, and can even undermine investor confidence.

Why Models Stall Before Production

On paper, AI pilots often look promising. A proof-of-concept model predicts accurately in a controlled setting, the team feels momentum, and executives see early wins. Then comes the stall.


The main reasons:

  • Scaling complexity – A model that runs well in a sandbox might crumble under the scale and variability of production. Integrating it with enterprise systems, handling real-world data volumes, and ensuring uptime across global operations often requires additional engineering investment that wasn’t accounted for in the pilot.

     

  • Data readiness surprises – Data that seemed pristine in the lab often turns messy once it comes from live, distributed sources. Missing values, inconsistent formats, and latency issues can erode accuracy and reliability faster than expected.

     

  • Workflow mismatch – Even if the model performs technically, operational teams need it to integrate seamlessly into existing processes. If the model requires extra steps, manual interventions, or workflow changes without clear ROI, adoption will stall.

     

  • The PoC trap – Organizations often treat proofs of concept as “the job done” without budgeting for productionization. This leaves projects stranded between technical feasibility and operational reality, where costs spike and momentum fades.

Seeing AI Waste Through a CFO’s Lens

CFOs are used to thinking in terms of capex vs. opex and asset ROI. AI demands a similar lens—except the “assets” are often intangible and fast-aging.

 

From a finance perspective, AI waste includes:

  • Sunk costs – These are the investments in data preparation, model development, licenses, and infrastructure that can’t be recovered if the project is abandoned. They remain on the books without contributing to revenue or efficiency gains.

  • Opportunity costs – Every quarter spent on an AI model that doesn’t reach production is a quarter where potential revenue streams, efficiency gains, or market share improvements are delayed—or lost entirely to competitors.
  • Carrying costs – Even unused AI assets incur ongoing costs. Storage fees, cloud compute subscriptions, and maintenance contracts continue to drain budgets while providing no return.

Quantifying the Price Tag

The cost of building an AI model isn’t just a developer’s salary. Real enterprise-grade projects have layers of expense:
  • Data Preparation – This stage can account for 15–25% of the budget, as it involves collecting, cleaning, labeling, and governing data. Large, complex datasets—especially those needing manual annotation—can cost anywhere from $10K to $90K or more, and delays here ripple through the entire project timeline.

  • Model Training – Depending on the type of model, training costs range from $20K to over $100K. Deep learning models, in particular, require high-end compute resources for long training cycles, and each iteration consumes both money and time.

  • Infrastructure – Compute power, storage, and networking capacity can easily push infrastructure spend into the $500K–$1M+ range. Cloud platforms reduce upfront capital outlay but often create high, ongoing operational expenses.

  • Integration – Embedding a model into production workflows—connecting APIs, integrating with backend systems, and updating user interfaces—can run from $10K to $50K for moderately complex projects. In legacy environments, that figure can multiply quickly.
  • Compliance & Governance – Particularly in regulated sectors like healthcare and finance, compliance work can consume more than 20% of a project budget. Privacy audits, security certifications, and governance processes are non-negotiable—and expensive.
Unused models mean all of these costs are sunk. And because 91% of models lose accuracy over time without retraining, the financial impact compounds if the model sits idle for months or years.

Ripple Effects Across the Organization

AI waste doesn’t stop at the balance sheet. It ripples outward into culture, capability, and reputation:

  • Reputation with stakeholders – Boards and investors track AI initiatives closely. High-profile failures can reduce trust in leadership’s ability to manage emerging tech investments, making future approvals harder.

  • Talent morale – Data scientists and engineers are often motivated by impact. When their work never reaches production, morale drops, and attrition risk rises—taking valuable institutional knowledge with it.

  • Cultural drag – Each failed or stalled project makes colleagues more skeptical about new initiatives, creating an environment where innovation proposals face resistance before they’re even evaluated.
  • Missed market windows – In fast-moving markets, being late with AI-enabled products or processes can mean competitors set the standard and capture the customer mindshare you were aiming for.

Reducing AI Waste: Financial & Strategic Controls

Avoiding AI waste isn’t about playing it safe—it’s about playing it smart. CFOs and tech leaders can reduce waste by embedding structured decision-making into the AI investment lifecycle:

  • Pre-project ROI gates – Require each proposed AI initiative to have clear, measurable business KPIs tied to revenue, cost savings, or risk reduction before development starts. This ensures that technical teams are solving problems the business actually values.

  • Portfolio balance – Manage AI projects like an investment portfolio, balancing low-risk, high-certainty use cases with a smaller allocation for experimental, high-risk initiatives. This spreads risk without stifling innovation.

  • Early kill criteria – Define conditions under which a project should be shut down before incurring major sunk costs—such as missed accuracy targets, integration blockers, or non-viable compliance requirements.
  • Lifecycle planning – Budget not only for model development but also for deployment, monitoring, retraining, and ongoing support. Treating these as part of the initial investment prevents models from dying after the first release.

CFO as the AI Capital Steward

CFOs are uniquely positioned to steer AI investments toward sustained business value:

  • Partnering with CTOs/CDOs – Jointly set AI investment priorities, combining technical feasibility assessments with financial ROI expectations to create a balanced roadmap.

  • Embedding ROI tracking – Make AI project performance a recurring agenda item in financial reviews, using both hard (cost savings, revenue gains) and soft (talent retention, customer satisfaction) metrics.

  • Demanding post-mortems – Review failed or stalled projects to identify systemic issues in planning, execution, or governance. This prevents repeating the same mistakes in future investments.
  • Treating AI like a portfolio – Just as with capital projects, require continuous performance monitoring and reallocation of resources to the initiatives delivering the highest return.

 

Closing Thoughts – Waste as a Governance Frontier

Unused AI models are more than missed opportunities—they’re silent, compounding costs on the balance sheet. They drain capital, erode confidence, and weaken the momentum needed to make AI a real growth driver.

For CFOs, the challenge isn’t just funding the next AI initiative—it’s ensuring that existing and future projects are designed to deliver measurable, sustainable value. Managing AI like a living, evolving asset class—not a one-off experiment—turns it from a cost center into a reliable source of competitive advantage.

That’s where Turinton’s Insights AI platform comes in. By connecting to enterprise data without complex ETL, embedding AI directly into operational workflows, and enabling continuous monitoring and feedback, Insights AI ensures that models aren’t just built—they stay relevant, accurate, and in production. Instead of watching AI investments depreciate, CFOs can see them compound in value over time.

See how Insights AI can help turn AI from a sunk cost risk into a capital-efficient growth asset → turinton.com

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About Author

Vikrant Labde

Co-founder & CTO

Vikrant Ladbe is a technology leader with 20+ years of experience, specializing in cloud-native applications, IoT, and AI-driven systems. He scaled a successful enterprise acquired by LTIMindtree and has led large-scale digital transformation initiatives for global clients.

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